FORECASTCONTEXT.COM · THE LARGE-SCALE STATE BEHIND THE FORECAST BRIEFINGMOTIONOUTLOOKMETHODSAPI☀ AUTO

FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-11-07 · UPDATED 2026-11-08 11:26 UTC

ERA5 + IFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingTropics & oceansAtlantic & Indian Ocean modes
AMG

Atlantic meridional SST gradient

TNA − TSA (positive = ITCZ displaced north; wet Sahel/dry NE Brazil). — Enfield et al. 1999