FORECASTCONTEXT.COM · THE LARGE-SCALE STATE BEHIND THE FORECAST BRIEFINGMOTIONOUTLOOKMETHODSAPI☀ AUTO

FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-10-12 · UPDATED 2026-10-13 11:02 UTC

ERA5 + GFS2.5°DAILY

Weather regimes

Recurring large-scale flow patterns over the Atlantic–Europe, North America, the Pacific and the south: which one is active, for how long, and how likely each is. Each set is fitted once on the reanalysis and frozen; every day is then projected onto it. Tiles give each regime's projection index (σ) and the active regime.