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FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-10-12 · UPDATED 2026-10-13 11:02 UTC

ERA5 + GFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingOfficial indicesOfficial · Oceans & ENSO
CPC_ONI

Oceanic Niño Index (CPC)

3-month running mean ERSSTv6 Niño 3.4 anomaly, dated on the centre month (DJF = Jan). ±0.5 K for 5 overlapping seasons defines El Niño / La Niña. — CPC · base centred 30-yr periods, updated every 5 yr