FORECASTCONTEXT.COM · THE LARGE-SCALE STATE BEHIND THE FORECAST BRIEFINGMOTIONOUTLOOKMETHODSAPI☀ AUTO

FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-10-12 · UPDATED 2026-10-13 11:02 UTC

ERA5 + GFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingOfficial indicesOfficial · Oceans & ENSO
CPC_RONI

Relative ONI (CPC)

ONI minus the tropical-mean (20°S–20°N) SST anomaly, rescaled; removes tropical-mean warming. Dated on the centre month. — van Oldenborgh et al. 2021 · base 1991–2020