FORECASTCONTEXT.COM · THE LARGE-SCALE STATE BEHIND THE FORECAST BRIEFINGMOTIONOUTLOOKMETHODSAPI☀ AUTO

FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-11-07 · UPDATED 2026-11-08 11:26 UTC

ERA5 + IFS2.5°DAILY
EMI

El Niño Modoki index

A − ½B − ½C SST anomaly, A 10°S–10°N 165°E–140°W, B 15°S–5°N 110–70°W, C 10°S–20°N 125–145°E (30-day mean; weights as in Ashok et al.). — Ashok et al. 2007, J. Geophys. Res. 112, C11007, doi:10.1029/2006JC003798