FORECASTCONTEXT.COM · THE LARGE-SCALE STATE BEHIND THE FORECAST BRIEFINGMOTIONOUTLOOKMETHODSAPI☀ AUTO

FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-11-07 · UPDATED 2026-11-08 11:26 UTC

ERA5 + IFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingTeleconnectionsPressure centres
ICL_p

Icelandic Low central pressure

Minimum SLP over ocean in 45–75°N, 70°W–10°E. Best defined Oct–Apr; summer minima are weak and can sit on the box edge. — centre-of-action approach after Hameed et al. 1995 / Hameed & Piontkovski 2004 (simplified: grid-point extremum)