FORECASTCONTEXT.COM · THE LARGE-SCALE STATE BEHIND THE FORECAST BRIEFINGMOTIONOUTLOOKMETHODSAPI☀ AUTO

FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-10-12 · UPDATED 2026-10-13 11:02 UTC

ERA5 + GFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingTropics & oceansEquatorial waves
KW_WP

Kelvin OLR · WP

Wheeler–Kiladis Kelvin-filtered OLR anomaly, W Pacific 150–180°E (7.5°S–7.5°N; k 1–14, 2.5–20 d, h 8–90 m, symmetric). Negative = enhanced convection. Recent days are provisional (filter edge). — Wheeler & Kiladis 1999 (JAS 56, 374); https://psl.noaa.gov/map/clim/olr_modes/