FORECASTCONTEXT.COM · THE LARGE-SCALE STATE BEHIND THE FORECAST BRIEFINGMOTIONOUTLOOKMETHODSAPI☀ AUTO

FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-10-12 · UPDATED 2026-10-13 11:02 UTC

ERA5 + GFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingJets & blockingWaviness & blocking
MCI_NH

Meridional circulation (NH)

Mean of v|v|/(u²+v²) at 500 hPa, 40–80°N: +1 all southerly, −1 all northerly, 0 zonal. — Francis & Vavrus 2015