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FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-11-07 · UPDATED 2026-11-08 11:26 UTC

ERA5 + IFS2.5°DAILY
N_CT

Cold-tongue ENSO index (Ren–Jin)

N3 − αN4 with α = 2/5 when N3·N4 > 0, else 0 (30-day means). — Ren & Jin 2011, Geophys. Res. Lett. 38, L04704, doi:10.1029/2010GL046031