FORECASTCONTEXT.COM · THE LARGE-SCALE STATE BEHIND THE FORECAST BRIEFINGMOTIONOUTLOOKMETHODSAPI☀ AUTO

FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-11-07 · UPDATED 2026-11-08 11:26 UTC

ERA5 + IFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingSouthern HemisphereSouthern Hemisphere
PSA2

Pacific–South American 2

PC3 of monthly Z500 anomalies south of 20°S. Sign fixed so the loading at 62.5°S, 90°W is positive (convention is not standardized). — Mo & Paegle 2001, doi:10.1002/joc.685