FORECASTCONTEXT.COM · THE LARGE-SCALE STATE BEHIND THE FORECAST BRIEFINGMOTIONOUTLOOKMETHODSAPI☀ AUTO

FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-10-12 · UPDATED 2026-10-13 11:02 UTC

ERA5 + GFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingOfficial indicesOfficial · Oceans & ENSO
PSL_MEIv2

Multivariate ENSO Index v2 (PSL)

EOF of SLP, SST, surface winds and OLR over the tropical Pacific; values are bimonthly seasons dated on the second month (DJ = Jan). — Zhang et al. 2019 · base 1980–2018