FORECASTCONTEXT.COM · THE LARGE-SCALE STATE BEHIND THE FORECAST BRIEFINGMOTIONOUTLOOKMETHODSAPI☀ AUTO

FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-11-07 · UPDATED 2026-11-08 11:26 UTC

ERA5 + IFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingTropics & oceansTropics & Hadley cells
QBO_phase

QBO phase (EOF)

atan2(PC2, PC1) in 0–360°. EOF1 is signed westerly at its peak level and EOF2 so that the phase increases as the shear zones descend (one QBO cycle = 360°).