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FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-10-12 · UPDATED 2026-10-13 11:02 UTC

ERA5 + GFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingTeleconnectionsTeleconnections
RPCA_EAWR

East Atlantic/West Russia (RPCA daily)

CPC-method rotated-PCA East Atlantic/West Russia pattern rebuilt from ERA5 500-hPa height, daily least-squares fit on patterns interpolated to the day. Positive: highs over Europe and northern China, lows over the central North Atlantic and north of the Caspian. — Barnston & Livezey 1987; NOAA CPC