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FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-10-12 · UPDATED 2026-10-13 11:02 UTC

ERA5 + GFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingTeleconnectionsTeleconnections
RPCA_NAO

North Atlantic Oscillation (RPCA daily)

CPC-method rotated-PCA North Atlantic Oscillation pattern rebuilt from ERA5 500-hPa height, daily least-squares fit on patterns interpolated to the day. Positive: low heights over Greenland, high over the central North Atlantic (35–40°N), eastern US and western Europe. — Barnston & Livezey 1987; NOAA CPC