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FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-10-12 · UPDATED 2026-10-13 11:02 UTC

ERA5 + GFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingTeleconnectionsTeleconnections
RPCA_POL

Polar/Eurasia (RPCA daily)

CPC-method rotated-PCA Polar/Eurasia pattern rebuilt from ERA5 500-hPa height, daily least-squares fit on patterns interpolated to the day. Positive: low polar heights (strong circumpolar vortex), high over northern China and Mongolia. — Barnston & Livezey 1987; NOAA CPC