FORECASTCONTEXT.COM · THE LARGE-SCALE STATE BEHIND THE FORECAST BRIEFINGMOTIONOUTLOOKMETHODSAPI☀ AUTO

FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-10-12 · UPDATED 2026-10-13 11:02 UTC

ERA5 + GFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingTeleconnectionsTeleconnections
RPCA_PT

Pacific Transition (RPCA daily)

CPC-method rotated-PCA Pacific Transition pattern rebuilt from ERA5 500-hPa height, daily least-squares fit on patterns interpolated to the day. Positive: highs west of Hawaii and over western North America, lows over the Gulf of Alaska and the south-east US. August–September only. — Barnston & Livezey 1987; NOAA CPC