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FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-10-12 · UPDATED 2026-10-13 11:02 UTC

ERA5 + GFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingTeleconnectionsTeleconnections
RPCA_SCA

Scandinavia (RPCA daily)

CPC-method rotated-PCA Scandinavia pattern rebuilt from ERA5 500-hPa height, daily least-squares fit on patterns interpolated to the day. Positive: high (often blocking) over Scandinavia and western Russia, weaker lows over western Europe and Mongolia. — Barnston & Livezey 1987; NOAA CPC