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FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-11-07 · UPDATED 2026-11-08 11:26 UTC

ERA5 + IFS2.5°DAILY
TNI

Trans-Niño index

Standardized Niño 1+2 minus standardized Niño 4 (30-day means), re-standardized; captures the east–west evolution of ENSO. Trenberth & Stepaniak smoothed with a 5-month running mean. — Trenberth & Stepaniak 2001, J. Climate 14, 1697–1701