FORECASTCONTEXT.COM · THE LARGE-SCALE STATE BEHIND THE FORECAST BRIEFINGMOTIONOUTLOOKMETHODSAPI☀ AUTO

FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-10-12 · UPDATED 2026-10-13 11:02 UTC

ERA5 + GFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingJets & blockingWaviness & blocking
URAL

Ural ridge

500-hPa height anomaly 45–70°N, 40–80°E; Ural ridging favours wave-1 forcing of the vortex.