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FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-10-12 · UPDATED 2026-10-13 11:02 UTC

ERA5 + GFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingTropics & oceansMJO & intraseasonal
VPM1

MJO VPM1

Velocity-potential MJO index: RMM with OLR replaced by 200-hPa velocity potential (15°S–15°N, 4 harmonics and previous-120-day mean removed). Tracks the MJO better in boreal summer. — Ventrice et al. 2013 (MWR 141, 4197)