FORECASTCONTEXT.COM · THE LARGE-SCALE STATE BEHIND THE FORECAST BRIEFINGMOTIONOUTLOOKMETHODSAPI☀ AUTO

FORECAST CONTEXT

DATA THROUGH 2026-10-12 · UPDATED 2026-10-13 11:02 UTC

ERA5 + GFS2.5°DAILY
BriefingWeather regimesWeather regimes
WR_AEF_label

Active regime · AEF

Atlantic–Eurasian EOF-phase regimes, life cycle: largest I_wr ≥ 1.0 for ≥ 6 days. 0 = no regime, 1 = Greenland Ridge, 2 = Greenland Trough, 3 = Ural Ridge, 4 = Ural Trough. — Fan, Chen & Cohen 2024 (JGR Atmospheres 129, e2023JD039868)